Celtics vs. Warriors Prediction: Odds, expert picks, expected starting lineups, betting trends and stats

Two of the hottest teams collide in Boston when the Celtics host the Golden State Warriors.

Boston is 7-1 on the year and leads the NBA with 123.6 points per game and 50.9 three-point attempts per contest. Little went wrong with Boston and they weren’t their downfall. The Celtics have the third-fewest turnovers per game (11.8) and the second-best free throw rate (82.2%). However, Jaylen Brown is out for this game (hip), which puts a twist on this matchup.

Golden State is 6-1 this season and has won four straight. The Warriors’ Steph Curry returned to the lineup in the win over the Wizards and led the team in points (24 points) and assists (six). Golden State has lost its last two trips to TD Garden and this is a dangerous Celtics team that the Warriors will prepare for.

With that said, let’s dive into the matchup and offer some information and maybe a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest on how to secure your first pick, projected lineups, recent team performances, player stats and of course our predictions, tips and best bets for the game our modeling tools and our team of experts.

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Details and how to watch Warriors @ Celtics

● Date: Wednesday, November 6, 2024
● Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
● Location: TD Garden
● City: Boston, MA
● TV/Streaming: ESPN

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Warriors @ Celtics odds

The latest odds from Wednesday morning:
● Moneyline: Boston Celtics (-235), Golden State Warriors (+195)
● Spread: Boston -6 (-110)
● Total: 229.5

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Projected starting lineups for Golden State and Boston

Boston Celtics (7-1)

PG Jrue vacation
SG Derrick White
SF Payton Prichard or Sam Hauser – Jaylen Brown is out (hip)
PF Jayson Tatum
C Al Horford

Golden State Warriors (6-1)

PG Steph Curry
SG Moses Moody
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Trayce Jackson Davis

Notable player props for Warriors @ Celtics

Top betting trends and insights to know ahead of Warriors @ Celtics

• Boston is 5-3 ATS this season and has an NBA-best 2-0 ATS as a home favorite.
• Boston is 5-3 against the Under this season.
• Golden State is 6-1 ATS and 1-0 as an NBA underdog.
• Golden State is 4-3 to the over this season.
• Jayson Tatum has led Boston in scoring in six of eight games, including four straight with 28 or more points.
• Jaylen Brown will miss this game for Boston with a hip injury. Brown scored at least 23 points in seven games played.
• Derrick White has scored 17 or more points in seven of eight games for Boston.
• Stephen Curry returned to lead Golden State with 24 points and 6 assists.
• Buddy Hield led Golden State in points in three of the last four games with 28, 21 and 27 points.

High point props

Jayson Tatum O/U 30.5 points
Steph Curry O/U 24.5 points
Derrick White O/U 19.5 points
Buddy Hield O/U 15.5 points
Jonathan Kuminga O/U 14.5 points
Jrue Holiday O/U 14.5 points

Highest rebound props

Jayson Tatum O/U 7.5 rebounds
Draymond Green O/U 6.5 rebounds
Al Horford O/U 5.5 rebounds
Trayce-Jackson Davis O/U 4.5 rebounds
Derrick White O/U 4.5 rebounds
Jrue Holiday O/U 4.5 rebounds

Highest assist props

Steph Curry O/U 5.5 assists
Draymond Green O/U 5.5 assists
Jayson Tatum O/U 5.5 assists
Derrick White O/U 4.5 assists
Jrue Holiday O/U 3.5 assists

Expert tips and predictions for Warriors @ Celtics

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NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) wants the Celtics to take care of the cheating Warriors and keep Andrew Wiggins under his score:

“Golden State is 6-1 on the year, but those six wins came against Portland, Utah, New Orleans, Houston and Washington. Only New Orleans made the playoffs last year and is 9-20 overall this season.

Golden State’s only loss came against Los Angeles (112-104), which reached the postseason last year. Boston has been a tank and could beat Golden State by more than 10 points at home, especially if things get out of hand sooner.

Golden State will need Stephen Curry and Buddy Hield to put in impressive efforts to keep it close, but I don’t see it happening. I like Boston -6 and lean towards Team Total in the first half, which is 6-2 this season.

As for the props, the fading Andrew Wiggins is my piece tonight. His tally is 12.5 points and he is coming off his worst game of the season against the Wizards.

Wiggins made 1 of 9 from the field, 0 of 6 from three and 3 of 4 from the free throw line, scoring five points in 18 minutes. Wiggins only had three fouls, so it was his play, not the foul trouble, that limited him.

Going to Boston won’t be easy and guys like Steph Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield and Moses Moody all have similar or higher usage rates for Golden State. I want Wiggins to be under 12.5 points.”

Here are the best bets our model predicts for the Warriors and Celtics:

· Money line: NBC Sports finds strength in conquering Boston in ML (-235)
· Spread: NBC Sports has a lot of confidence in Boston for distribution
· In total: NBC Sports has little confidence in a game with a total of OVER 229.5 points

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· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)