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History professor who got 2024 race prediction wrong receives death threats

by November 11, 2024

  • History professor Allan Lichtman said he was deceived after incorrectly predicting the election results.
  • Lichtman, who has accurately predicted nine elections so far, predicted a Harris victory in September.
  • He said he had received death threats and there had been two attempted break-ins at his home.

Allan Lichtman, the history professor who has correctly predicted nine of the last 11 presidential elections, said he received death threats after incorrectly predicting the 2024 results.

Lichtman in September predicted a victory for Vice President Kamala Harris over her opponent, former President Donald Trump.

“We have faced death threats, doxxing, swatting and intimidation on our doorstep. We won’t let ourselves be bullied. Federal law enforcement is now alerted,” he wrote in an X post on Saturday.

In a statement to BI, the American University professor said the threats came via email and social media.

“There were two attempts to break into our home,” Lichtman told BI.

Lichtman said no one was injured and added that police responded to the break-in attempts.

Representatives from the Washington, DC Metropolitan Police Department did not immediately respond to a request for comment from Business Insider.

In a podcast uploaded to his YouTube channel on Friday, Lichtman said he thought the hate mail he received due to the false prediction was “vulgar” and “pointless.”

“I admit I was wrong. I predicted a win for Harris and she didn’t win,” he said on the YouTube stream.

“But I was far from the only forecaster who got it wrong. Most other models were wrong,” Lichtman added.

Lichtman’s Key to the White House prediction model consists of 13 true-or-false questions. In an interview with The New York Times in September, he said eight of the 13 keys went for Harris.

In 2016, he correctly predicted that Trump would win the election.

The Republican candidate cruised to victory last week, securing his second term with 312 electoral votes to Harris’ 226.