Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks odds, tips and predictions

by Junna Base November 9, 2024

The Dallas Mavericks (5-3) welcome the Phoenix Suns (7-1) to American Airlines Center on Friday. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze the 24/7 NBA odds from BetMGM Sportsbook Suns vs. Mavericks Opportunities and meet our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Suns lead 1-0

The Suns have won six straight games since their second game of the season loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. Phoenix earned a 115-112 home win over the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Although they have won consistently, they have not covered consistently and are just 2-6 against the spread (ATS) and 0-3 ATS in their last 3. The Suns are averaging 114 points per game during the winning streak. Phoenix is led by F Kevin Durant (27.8 points per game) and G Devin Booker (24.4 PPG).

The Mavericks defeated the Chicago Bulls 119-99 on Wednesday and finished as 10-point home favorites. They have won 3 of their last 5, alternating wins and losses. Dallas is 4-4 ATS this season and 3-3 ATS at home. The season average is 113 PPG, but the last two games have seen an average of 123 points. The Mavericks are led by MVP candidate G Luka Doncicwho averages 28.6 points, 8.1 rebounds and 8.1 assists per game.

Sun on Mavericks odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Visit the USA TODAY sports scores and sports betting hub for a complete list of NBA odds. Lines were last updated at 12:21 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Suns +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mavericks -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the Spread (ATS): Suns +3.5 (-115) | Mavericks -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Suns at Mavericks key injuries

Suns

G Bradley Beal (Elbow) probably

outsider

G Dante Exum (wrist) out
F Maxi glue (thigh) doubtful
C Dereck Lively II (shoulder) out
F PJ Washington (knees) out

For the latest updates: Official NBA Injury Report.

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Suns at Mavericks tips and predictions

forecast

Suns 115, Mavericks 112

Money line

BET SUN (+135).

Phoenix has won 6 straight games and beat the Mavericks at home by 12 points to start the season. Due to the length of Durant and F., it fits well with Doncic and Co Royce O’Neale. The Suns have beaten top teams like the Heat and Lakers in recent weeks. They are also 2-1 away from home.

The Mavericks have a 5-3 lead but have been inconsistent in recent games. Dallas is 1:3 ahead after a win. While it is 4-2 at home, it has lost at home to the Houston Rockets and Indiana Pacers in the last 10 days. The Mavericks are also more inefficient, with two of their top three weapons shooting 45% or worse from the field.

With these trends in mind, back SUNS (+135).

Against the spread

HAPPEN.

Avoid this game. The Suns are acceptable as underdogs on the road, but the value of an overall win is far higher. Likewise, the Mavericks have come up short after too many wins to get here.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 230.5 (-110).

The Mavericks have lost in 3 of their 4 games and have allowed 99 or fewer points in 2 of their last 3, so they have a capable defense. Although Dallas ranks 11th in the league in pace, it is third in defensive rating, so it has done well on defense despite playing at a faster pace than usual.

Phoenix doesn’t play particularly fast and ranks 16th in the league. Four of the last six games have allowed 112 or fewer points and three of the last six games have allowed 105 or fewer points. The Suns have scored fewer than 115 points in four of their last six games. Given these trends back UNDER 230.5 (-110).

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